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Cost-Benefit Analysis of Airline Security

Well, this isn’t hot off the presses, but it’s a fascinating paper that I just had the chance to read.

Mark Stewart, a civil engineer at the University of Newcastle and John Mueller, a political science professor at Ohio State University, have done an analysis of the dollars spent per life saved by a couple of airline security measures.

The conclusion? Hardening cockpit doors has the highest risk reduction (16.67%) at the lowest cost: $40 million. The Federal Air Marshal Service costs $900 million but reduces risk by only 1.67% – an annual cost of $180 million per statistical life saved.

The government’s target price per life saved is between $1 and $10 million. That means $180 million is a pretty high number. It’s money that could be used on more efficient security alternatives.

In case you’re freaked out about putting a dollar value on human life, don’t be. We weigh the value of our own lives against other things all the time. To articulate this balancing for policymaking purposes, what economists are doing is using a dollar value to measure the relative importance of life versus other things. It doesn’t cheapen your life to think that people are trying to be smart about protecting it.

This study was written up a lot of places: Bruce Schneier’s blog, the Freakonomics blog, and the Wall Street Journal, just to link a few. But you know why it’s special to see it here? Because you can do something about it!

S. 3181, The Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2009 is the bill that spends money to run the Federal Air Marshal Service. If you think this waste is wasteful, this would be something you want to tell your Member of Congress. Mention that this is the bill on which to do something about it.

Here’s the current vote on the overall bill (the Senate version – the House doesn’t have one yet). Click to vote, comment, learn more, or edit the wiki article about the bill.

Visitor Comments for Cost-Benefit Analysis of Airline Security RSS 2.0

Tom

Wow… Comparing Apples and Oranges aren’t we?
I wonder how many calls for assistance a Cockpit Door answered?
For that matter, if Cockpit Doors are so great why don’t we put one on every street corner in America to deter crime?
Please… Try reading the report. It is very specific to preventing a 9/11 style attack and does not consider the additional services air marshals provide, hence the flawed cost analysis.

Jim Harper

What are the additional services that federal air marshals provide, and what is the value of the injury, loss of life, or property damage the program has prevented?

This information would help people consider whether I was careless to speak of the air marshals program in terms of “waste.”

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